Independiente FBC vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
IND
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 4
IND
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
LQE
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 1
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
LQE
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
DEP
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 2
GEN
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
ATP
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
DEP
33%
24%
43%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |