Independiente Chorrera vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
4 - 2
IND
61%
24%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
IND
0 - 1
SFF
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
IND
47%
28%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
CHE
36%
29%
34%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
IND
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SMI
0 - 0
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
TAU
1 - 1
SMI
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 1
SMI
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
SMI
2 - 2
SFF
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 0
SMI
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |