Independente SP vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
IND
1 - 2
ECN
50%
25%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
UNI
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
AMP
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
IND
52%
26%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
UNI
11%
16%
74%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 3
ECN
35%
25%
39%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
MOG
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 1
MOG
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MOG
0 - 2
IND
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |