Independente SP vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
MIR
24%
22%
54%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
INT
0 - 0
IND
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
SAO
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
XVD
0 - 1
IND
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 0
GRE
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
28%
27%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ITU
3 - 0
GRE
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
RBB
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAU
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |