Independente AP vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
IAP
2 - 2
TDC
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SEC
1 - 5
IAP
22%
21%
58%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
IAP
2 - 0
ECM
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
YAP
2 - 1
IAP
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
IAP
3 - 1
SAN
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
TDC
0 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 1
ORC
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
SEC
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
YAP
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
IAP
3 - 1
SAN
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |