Independência vs Vasco da Gama AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+128%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 1
IND
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 1
IND
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
IND
1 - 1
ADE
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
IND
3 - 0
SFC
73%
15%
11%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
IND
0 - 0
NAC
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 1
VAS
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
AND
3 - 0
VAS
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
VAS
2 - 0
ATL
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
VAS
2 - 4
ADE
28%
23%
48%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2005 |
IND
2 - 1
VAS
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |