Incomáti vs Black Bulls Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
53.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incomáti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FEN
0 - 0
IDX
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
IDX
1 - 0
DMA
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HCB
3 - 0
IDX
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
IDX
1 - 0
FER
29%
33%
38%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MDM
3 - 0
IDX
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Black Bulls Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BBM
3 - 1
FER
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LIC
1 - 0
BBM
22%
27%
51%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BBM
1 - 0
COS
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TEX
1 - 1
BBM
11%
25%
65%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
LIG
0 - 1
BBM
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |