Incheon United vs Busan I Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
INC
0 - 4
JEJ
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
DAE
2 - 4
INC
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
GYE
2 - 1
INC
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
FCS
0 - 0
INC
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
INC
0 - 2
SEO
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
BUS
1 - 0
FCS
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BUS
1 - 2
POH
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CDR
2 - 1
BUS
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
SUW
3 - 0
BUS
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
JEJ
1 - 1
BUS
45%
28%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |