Illueca vs Caspe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BIE
0 - 0
ICF
11%
20%
69%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ICF
1 - 0
EPI
47%
24%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
GIN
2 - 2
ICF
21%
23%
57%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ICF
2 - 0
SDB
68%
20%
13%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
UFC
3 - 1
ICF
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
CAS
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAA
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ROB
1 - 2
CAS
41%
25%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
BIN
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CUA
3 - 0
CAS
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |