Illertissen vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
54%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
EIC
1 - 1
ILL
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
ILL
1 - 0
VIK
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +3 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
ILL
2 - 1
TSA
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ILL
1 - 2
AUG
22%
21%
56%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
TSV
3 - 3
ILL
10%
15%
75%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
VIK
1 - 0
BUC
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BUC
1 - 1
SCH
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
BUC
4 - 0
DEI
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
FCT
0 - 3
BUC
15%
20%
66%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
BUC
5 - 1
186
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |