Norwegian Fourth Division Round 23

IL Runar vs Larvik Turn analysis

IL Runar Larvik Turn
31 ELO 60
3.5% Tilt 5.2%
30811º General ELO ranking 24735º
275º Country ELO ranking 235º
ELO win probability
15.4%
IL Runar
20.9%
Draw
63.8%
Larvik Turn

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
IL Runar
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
63.8%
Win probability
Larvik Turn
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

IL Runar
Larvik Turn
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

IL Runar
IL Runar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2012
SKA
Skarphedin
2 - 2
IL Runar
RUN
55%
21%
24%
32 34 2 0
14 Sep. 2012
RUN
IL Runar
3 - 0
Kongsberg
KIG
76%
15%
10%
31 20 11 +1
10 Sep. 2012
SFO
Sandefjord II
0 - 0
IL Runar
RUN
60%
20%
21%
31 35 4 0
04 Sep. 2012
RUN
IL Runar
1 - 2
Odd III
ODS
74%
16%
10%
32 23 9 -1
24 Aug. 2012
FKH
FK Herkules
5 - 0
IL Runar
RUN
59%
20%
21%
34 37 3 -2

Matches

Larvik Turn
Larvik Turn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2012
LAR
Larvik Turn
5 - 1
Kongsberg
KIG
82%
12%
6%
60 20 40 0
13 Sep. 2012
ODS
Odd III
5 - 0
Larvik Turn
LAR
12%
19%
69%
60 25 35 0
07 Sep. 2012
LAR
Larvik Turn
2 - 4
Flint
IFL
83%
12%
5%
60 21 39 0
03 Sep. 2012
NFK
Notodden II
2 - 1
Larvik Turn
LAR
14%
20%
66%
60 25 35 0
25 Aug. 2012
LAR
Larvik Turn
1 - 1
FK Arendal
FKA
71%
18%
11%
60 46 14 0