IFK Mariehamn vs AC Oulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
12º
12º
31
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Mariehamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 1
KUO
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 0
KOO
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 1
IFK
74%
18%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
VIF
0 - 1
IFK
18%
22%
61%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 2
SEI
28%
27%
46%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 2
OUL
30%
23%
47%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
OUL
3 - 0
HAK
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
SEI
1 - 4
OUL
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 0
VAA
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 1
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |