IFK Luleå vs Umeå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Luleå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
IFK
2 - 2
ORE
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
PIT
3 - 0
IFK
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
UME
1 - 0
IFK
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
IFK
3 - 1
SYL
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
HAN
1 - 0
IFK
63%
20%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
UME
4 - 0
PIT
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
DAL
2 - 2
UME
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
UME
1 - 0
IFK
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
ORE
1 - 2
UME
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
HUD
0 - 1
UME
26%
23%
51%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |