Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 8-2
IF Elfsborg vs Pafos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ELF
3 - 0
BRO
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ELF
0 - 0
FFK
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GÖT
1 - 0
ELF
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
MFF
2 - 1
ELF
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ELF
2 - 0
HAL
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
OMO
0 - 3
PAF
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAF
1 - 1
OMO
47%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
PAF
41%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PAF
5 - 1
ANO
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
APO
1 - 1
PAF
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |