Ideal vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
IDE
2 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
OLE
1 - 1
IDE
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
IDE
0 - 0
TOR
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ANA
2 - 0
IDE
72%
19%
9%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
IDE
3 - 0
VIT
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
BMA
14%
22%
64%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ANA
1 - 0
SER
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
MAR
42%
28%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 0
SER
37%
27%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 1
SER
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |