Ideal vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
REA
3 - 1
IDE
70%
19%
12%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FAB
1 - 0
IDE
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
IDE
1 - 1
GDF
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 2
IDE
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
IDE
0 - 1
SCP
12%
20%
69%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 2
ESA
11%
20%
69%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
RAB
0 - 0
ORI
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ORI
0 - 1
FAB
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SCP
3 - 2
ORI
88%
9%
3%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 3
ORI
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |