Série C . Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Icasa vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
PAY
3 - 2
ICA
60%
22%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ICA
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 1
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 0
PAY
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
ICA
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
PAY
3 - 2
ICA
60%
22%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 2
PAY
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
PAY
2 - 0
MAC
40%
26%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 0
PAY
30%
26%
45%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PAY
4 - 0
SAL
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |