Icasa vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
ICA
2 - 0
CRA
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ICA
2 - 3
ITA
61%
20%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
ITA
0 - 1
ICA
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ICA
5 - 1
TIR
53%
21%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
TIR
0 - 0
ICA
56%
21%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 3
FER
74%
18%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FER
7 - 0
IMP
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PAY
3 - 0
FER
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
JAC
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
FER
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |