Ibach vs Gunzwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 1
FCS
19%
23%
59%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BUO
5 - 1
IBA
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
IBA
3 - 1
ESC
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
EMM
4 - 2
IBA
61%
21%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
IBA
0 - 0
FCB
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gunzwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
GOL
4 - 0
GUN
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
GUN
4 - 1
LUZ
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
GUN
0 - 2
FCS
22%
23%
55%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 0
GUN
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GUN
2 - 2
BUO
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |