I'Gara vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
I'Gara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
UDL
2 - 1
IGA
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
IGA
2 - 3
MAR
19%
19%
62%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CAG
2 - 0
IGA
41%
24%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
IGA
0 - 1
SLC
23%
22%
55%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
CDT
6 - 1
IGA
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
UDI
6 - 2
UDG
24%
25%
52%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
VSB
4 - 1
UDI
64%
22%
14%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
UDI
0 - 2
ARU
17%
22%
61%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
UDI
1 - 2
UPR
20%
25%
55%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
UDG
3 - 0
UDI
57%
24%
19%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |