Hwaseong vs Ulsan Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
20.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
HWA
1 - 0
MOK
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
YES
0 - 0
HWA
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
YAN
2 - 1
HWA
17%
24%
59%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HWA
1 - 4
POC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GAN
3 - 1
HWA
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ulsan Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ULS
0 - 4
CHA
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
GAN
0 - 0
ULS
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GYE
1 - 2
ULS
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 0
ULS
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ULS
0 - 2
SIH
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |