Huntly vs Fraserburgh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
83.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.9%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
8º
17º
9º
68
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huntly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
INV
0 - 0
HUN
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HUN
3 - 1
NAI
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 2
HUN
88%
9%
3%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HUN
2 - 0
STR
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LOS
1 - 4
HUN
46%
22%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
ROT
85%
10%
5%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 1
STR
69%
17%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 1
FRA
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
5 - 0
CLA
93%
6%
2%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 4
FRA
5%
12%
83%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | -1 |