Hunan Billows FC vs Shanghai Jiading Huilong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
HBF
1 - 1
GUA
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MON
0 - 4
HBF
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HBF
1 - 2
CHO
84%
11%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
QYF
1 - 1
HBF
74%
16%
11%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
YUN
2 - 0
HBF
5%
13%
82%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | -3 |
Matches
Shanghai Jiading Huilong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
ANH
1 - 0
SHA
66%
22%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 5
SDO
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
QYI
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
GFC
3 - 0
SHA
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 1
SHA
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |