Xinjiang Tianshan vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinjiang Tianshan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
2 - 2
HUB
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
WUZ
1 - 1
HUB
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HUB
0 - 1
HAR
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HUB
2 - 0
SHA
33%
26%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
SJU
0 - 1
HUB
10%
18%
72%
|
50 | 11 | 39 | +1 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
BEI
1 - 2
JIA
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
BEI
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BEI
0 - 0
LIA
62%
22%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HAN
0 - 3
BEI
31%
29%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BEI
0 - 3
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |