Horsham YMCA vs Crawley Down Gatwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
47.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LCO
3 - 0
HOR
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PEA
2 - 1
HOR
69%
18%
14%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 2
AUC
55%
20%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 0
HAS
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BEX
2 - 0
HOR
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Down Gatwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 2
BRO
45%
21%
34%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CRA
11 - 2
EAS
93%
5%
2%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 3
LIT
14%
16%
71%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TOW
1 - 3
CRA
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 1
ALF
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |