Horsham YMCA vs Varndeanians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PAG
1 - 0
HOR
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
STC
1 - 1
HOR
25%
20%
55%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 0
HOR
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
HOR
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 0
LOX
91%
7%
3%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
AUC
22%
21%
57%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 4
NEW
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 1
TOW
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | +3 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 1
VAR
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
LIT
5 - 0
VAR
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |