AC Horsens vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
10º
10º
35
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
OBK
1 - 0
ACH
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ACH
3 - 3
MID
19%
23%
59%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 0
ACH
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AAB
0 - 0
ACH
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 0
LYN
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MID
0 - 2
AGF
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
AGF
1 - 0
LYN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
OBK
1 - 2
AGF
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AGF
0 - 0
RAN
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
AGF
3 - 1
VFF
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |