Horizonte vs Maracanã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
IGU
1 - 1
HOR
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
HOR
0 - 0
GPM
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 1
HOR
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
HOR
1 - 3
FOR
5%
16%
78%
|
46 | 88 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FER
1 - 2
HOR
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
4 - 1
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
FER
1 - 0
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 0
MAR
87%
10%
3%
|
48 | 88 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
GPM
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
IGU
0 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |