Horizonte vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
GPM
1 - 2
HOR
13%
17%
71%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 0
HOR
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -3 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 2
TIR
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 0
FLO
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
CFS
0 - 2
HOR
13%
17%
70%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
BAR
32%
26%
42%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
GPM
67%
19%
15%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
CFS
63%
20%
18%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
68%
21%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |