Horitschon vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
LEI
1 - 0
HOR
25%
20%
55%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HOR
0 - 1
PAR
75%
15%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
ALL
3 - 3
HOR
30%
21%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
HOR
3 - 1
ASK
84%
11%
6%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
DRA
5 - 1
HOR
63%
19%
19%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
STM
1 - 0
BAS
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SVE
1 - 0
STM
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
STM
2 - 0
SVS
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 4
STM
52%
24%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
STM
3 - 2
OBE
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |