Hoogezand vs Oranje Nassau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
53.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
11º
8º
47
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoogezand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HOO
1 - 4
PKC
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 0
HOO
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HOO
0 - 1
BLA
39%
21%
40%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ONS
1 - 1
HOO
69%
15%
16%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
HOO
6 - 0
FVC
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Oranje Nassau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ORA
4 - 1
BLA
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ONS
2 - 0
ORA
60%
19%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 3
GOR
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WIN
0 - 1
ORA
16%
19%
66%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 1
PEL
36%
22%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |