Hong Kong vs Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TWN
0 - 1
HKG
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
PRK
2 - 1
HKG
73%
18%
8%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
HKG
0 - 7
ARG
6%
16%
78%
|
52 | 95 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
HKG
2 - 1
SGP
38%
25%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
SGP
0 - 0
HKG
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PRK
5 - 1
GUM
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 77 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
TWN
1 - 2
GUM
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
GUM
5 - 0
MNP
89%
9%
2%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
GUM
2 - 0
MNG
21%
21%
58%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +4 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
GUM
0 - 0
MAC
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |