Hong Kong vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
HKG
0 - 0
JOR
17%
22%
62%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
LBN
2 - 0
HKG
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
JOR
4 - 0
HKG
70%
20%
9%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
0 - 1
PRK
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
4 - 2
TWN
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
QAT
2 - 2
PRK
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
0 - 1
PRK
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
GUM
0 - 2
PRK
8%
18%
74%
|
75 | 28 | 47 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PRK
2 - 0
TWN
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 32 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
PHL
1 - 3
PRK
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |