Hong Kong vs Chinese Taipei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
MNG
1 - 5
HKG
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
HKG
0 - 0
PRK
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TWN
1 - 2
HKG
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
IDN
1 - 1
HKG
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
HKG
0 - 1
THA
9%
14%
77%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Chinese Taipei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
TWN
1 - 1
NPL
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
TWN
0 - 1
SLB
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
MMR
0 - 0
TWN
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
TWN
0 - 2
PRK
11%
20%
69%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
TWN
2 - 1
MNG
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |