Honduras vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
56.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 1
HND
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
HND
1 - 1
USA
24%
25%
52%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
TTO
1 - 2
HND
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 0
HND
71%
18%
10%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 0
HND
29%
25%
45%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MEX
3 - 1
TTO
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 1
MEX
31%
26%
43%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 0
PAN
74%
18%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2017 |
JAM
1 - 0
MEX
10%
20%
70%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 0
HND
71%
18%
10%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |