Honduras vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2000 |
CAN
2 - 1
HND
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
HND
3 - 1
PAN
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
NIC
0 - 1
HND
10%
17%
73%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PAN
1 - 0
HND
22%
23%
54%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
CHL
5 - 2
HND
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2000 |
CUB
1 - 1
HTI
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
CUB
0 - 1
HTI
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2000 |
HTI
1 - 1
TTO
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
TTO
3 - 1
HTI
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BHS
0 - 4
HTI
9%
18%
73%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |