Holstein Kiel vs VfR Neumunster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+157%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2003 |
WER
2 - 1
HOL
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
OSN
2 - 0
HOL
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
HOL
1 - 2
BAY
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
ERZ
2 - 0
HOL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
HOL
2 - 2
BOR
40%
25%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Neumunster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
VFR
0 - 1
HAM
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
PIR
7 - 1
VFR
81%
12%
7%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -12 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
COH
2 - 0
VFR
60%
20%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
VFR
1 - 1
STP
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
VFR
3 - 0
BER
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |