Holstein Kiel vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
1FC
1 - 7
HOL
1%
4%
95%
|
69 | 26 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
HOL
3 - 1
ROS
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 2
HOL
85%
11%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
WOL
2 - 0
HOL
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
HOL
2 - 1
STP
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
WIE
0 - 5
PAD
4%
11%
84%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
F95
1 - 0
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
BVB
1 - 1
PAD
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 2
MON
24%
24%
53%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
SKA
1 - 1
PAD
38%
24%
39%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |