Holstein Kiel vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
HOL
1 - 1
BER
78%
13%
9%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
HEI
0 - 3
HOL
55%
21%
25%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
STP
4 - 1
HOL
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
HOL
4 - 1
TBR
71%
16%
13%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
EBT
2 - 2
HOL
82%
12%
7%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
LUB
1 - 1
BRE
37%
23%
40%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
STP
4 - 3
LUB
86%
9%
5%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
BOR
2 - 3
LUB
73%
15%
12%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
LUB
0 - 0
HAN
50%
22%
28%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
VFR
1 - 2
LUB
65%
18%
16%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |