2. Bundesliga . Jor. 18

Holstein Kiel vs Hamburger SV analysis

Holstein Kiel Hamburger SV
74 ELO 76
7.6% Tilt 14.6%
412º General ELO ranking 276º
25º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
36.4%
Holstein Kiel
24.7%
Draw
38.9%
Hamburger SV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
Holstein Kiel
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.9%
Win probability
Hamburger SV
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Holstein Kiel
+23%
-4%
Hamburger SV

ELO progression

Holstein Kiel
Hamburger SV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Dec. 2018
HOL
Holstein Kiel
1 - 2
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
58%
22%
20%
73 65 8 0
09 Dec. 2018
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
0 - 2
Holstein Kiel
HOL
31%
25%
44%
73 66 7 0
02 Dec. 2018
MSV
MSV Duisburg
0 - 4
Holstein Kiel
HOL
31%
26%
43%
72 67 5 +1
24 Nov. 2018
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 1
Sandhausen
SVS
63%
21%
16%
72 63 9 0
09 Nov. 2018
PAD
Paderborn
4 - 4
Holstein Kiel
HOL
40%
25%
35%
73 70 3 -1

Matches

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Dec. 2018
MSV
MSV Duisburg
1 - 2
Hamburger SV
HSV
21%
24%
56%
77 65 12 0
07 Dec. 2018
HSV
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
48%
25%
27%
77 71 6 0
01 Dec. 2018
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 2
Hamburger SV
HSV
19%
24%
57%
76 65 11 +1
26 Nov. 2018
HSV
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Union Berlin
FCU
42%
26%
32%
76 73 3 0
10 Nov. 2018
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 3
Hamburger SV
HSV
16%
23%
61%
77 63 14 -1
X