Holstein Kiel vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
HOL
0 - 2
HAN
80%
12%
8%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
EBT
4 - 3
HOL
74%
15%
11%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
BRE
4 - 2
HOL
76%
14%
10%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
HOL
1 - 0
BER
75%
14%
11%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
VFR
0 - 3
HOL
55%
21%
25%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
HSV
8 - 0
BRE
88%
8%
4%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
VFR
1 - 6
HSV
25%
22%
53%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1961 |
HSV
3 - 1
STP
82%
11%
6%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1961 |
HAN
0 - 1
HSV
27%
22%
51%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
HSV
5 - 3
EBT
84%
10%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |