Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Hannover analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
VFB
3 - 1
HOL
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
HOL
0 - 0
HEI
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
OSV
3 - 2
HOL
27%
22%
51%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
HOL
2 - 0
CEL
78%
15%
8%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
OSN
3 - 1
HOL
73%
17%
11%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Hannover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
AHA
0 - 0
STP
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
AHA
1 - 2
VFB
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
HEI
0 - 2
AHA
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
AHA
0 - 2
OSV
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
CEL
1 - 1
AHA
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |