Holstein Kiel II vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VFR
1 - 0
HOL
37%
26%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
HEI
2 - 0
HOL
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ITZ
1 - 3
HOL
21%
23%
57%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
HUL
1 - 5
HOL
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
HOL
3 - 0
KRO
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
ITZ
0 - 2
LUB
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LUB
0 - 3
HUL
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LUB
3 - 0
VFR
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
LUB
3 - 0
HEI
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FLE
1 - 1
LUB
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |