Holbæk vs Herlev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HOL
3 - 3
KAR
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 0
HOL
12%
19%
70%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
HOL
1 - 0
TAA
82%
13%
6%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 4
HOL
8%
16%
76%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HOL
3 - 0
SKJ
88%
9%
3%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
HER
3 - 2
GRE
55%
22%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KAR
4 - 2
HER
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
HER
4 - 0
AVE
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
TAA
1 - 1
HER
21%
23%
55%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
HER
2 - 2
MAR
41%
23%
36%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |