Hoek vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
70.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HOE
4 - 0
ONS
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 3
HOE
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 4
HOE
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HOE
1 - 3
DOV
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
VVS
3 - 2
HOE
35%
23%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HER
4 - 0
ZWO
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ZWO
3 - 1
ADO
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 0
ZWO
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ZWO
0 - 4
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
GRO
2 - 0
ZWO
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |