HNK Sibenik vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
10º
46
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SLA
0 - 0
HNS
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
2 - 1
LOK
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 0
HNS
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 1
RIJ
13%
19%
68%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
5 - 0
ZAG
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
IST
1 - 0
OSI
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
DZG
4 - 1
IST
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
IST
1 - 2
NKV
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
IST
0 - 2
HKS
13%
20%
67%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
IST
1 - 0
OPA
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |