HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
9º
49
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
1 - 0
RUD
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
HNS
0 - 4
HNG
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
2 - 0
OSI
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
1 - 1
DZG
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 3
HNG
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 0
HKS
36%
25%
40%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
1 - 0
HNS
69%
20%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
1 - 1
OSI
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RIJ
1 - 1
CEL
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DZG
1 - 0
RIJ
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |