HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
9º
50
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 1
DZG
29%
25%
45%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 1
HNG
31%
26%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 2
IST
67%
20%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SLA
2 - 1
HNG
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HNG
3 - 2
LOK
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 3
OSI
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OSI
1 - 1
HNS
68%
21%
11%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 1
HKS
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
DZG
5 - 2
OSI
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 2
NKV
63%
24%
13%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |