HNK Gorica vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
9º
27
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 1
HNG
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
HNG
1 - 1
OSI
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
HDR
0 - 2
HNG
13%
22%
65%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
HNG
3 - 3
LOK
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SLA
2 - 1
HNG
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 1
RIJ
13%
19%
68%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
5 - 0
ZAG
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
HNS
20%
23%
57%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
HNS
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BAC
2 - 1
HNS
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |