UCL Qualifying Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-2
HJK Helsinki vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
HJK
3 - 0
VAA
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
HJK
2 - 1
FCL
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
IFK
0 - 5
HJK
29%
25%
45%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
HJK
0 - 0
FFJ
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
MYP
2 - 4
HJK
28%
26%
45%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
KAL
1 - 0
PAI
86%
10%
3%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
KAL
14 - 0
KOH
94%
5%
1%
|
76 | 10 | 66 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
KUR
0 - 1
KAL
7%
17%
76%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2013 |
KAL
0 - 0
SIK
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
LEV
1 - 0
KAL
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |